Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.195416 2.523444 2.887341 3.321586 3.826504 4.396064 5.088637
2025-05-11 1.680187 2.111833 2.638320 3.330514 4.220763 5.332768 6.835713
2025-05-18 1.401553 1.870218 2.479517 3.335202 4.514770 6.096407 8.399338
2025-05-25 1.178063 1.648452 2.291895 3.244725 4.634132 6.608174 9.664464
2025-06-01 1.052750 1.535386 2.225613 3.296594 4.938093 7.394052 11.412585
2025-06-08 0.959299 1.451619 2.184220 3.369662 5.270293 8.250829 13.381019
2025-06-15 0.867774 1.356959 2.111188 3.378512 5.494789 8.958269 15.202295
2025-06-22 0.774275 1.246802 1.998870 3.306189 5.571074 9.424490 16.672143
2025-06-29 0.700746 1.159646 1.912011 3.262122 5.683610 9.957584 18.326936
2025-07-06 0.633332 1.074802 1.818688 3.193563 5.740342 10.392588 19.854775
2025-07-13 0.613014 1.067840 1.856363 3.359329 6.239158 11.693549 23.241553
2025-07-20 0.570377 1.016800 1.810548 3.365559 6.436614 12.445227 25.636098
2025-07-27 0.539105 0.988243 1.811598 3.479292 6.896709 13.854542 29.826961
2025-08-03 0.495710 0.933464 1.759992 3.489168 7.162387 14.938490 33.592849
2025-08-10 0.457338 0.883278 1.710207 3.494072 7.415441 16.032241 37.597454
2025-08-17 0.413094 0.816231 1.618820 3.398979 7.436094 16.614944 40.498998
2025-08-24 0.388710 0.786328 1.598767 3.453494 7.798510 18.036135 45.788974
2025-08-31 0.368724 0.763121 1.589607 3.530295 8.223731 19.677645 52.013092
2025-09-07 0.344939 0.729106 1.553209 3.539598 8.488292 20.969012 57.574963
2025-09-14 0.316895 0.682765 1.484482 3.463578 8.529889 21.699319 61.711918
2025-09-21 0.293863 0.645117 1.431037 3.417263 8.640148 22.629660 66.654334
2025-09-28 0.271302 0.606195 1.370408 3.345210 8.672118 23.353722 71.137834
2025-10-05 0.266523 0.607906 1.405064 3.519433 9.396462 26.150153 82.901059